Mass aggregation. Short cards. A published record.

MIA at SF: 49ers 77%, spread -9.5, total 45.5

Dolphins at 49ers: Elo makes the 49ers 77% favorites (spread -9.5). The posted market line is -13.5, so the model differs by +4.0 points.

CAR at ATL: Falcons 65%, spread -5.0, total 44.5

Panthers at Falcons: Elo makes the Falcons 65% favorites (spread -5.0). The posted market line is +1.5, so the model differs by -6.5 points.

DEN at KC: Broncos 57%, spread +2.5, total 42.5

Broncos at Chiefs: Elo makes the Broncos 57% favorites (spread +2.5). The posted market line is -2.5, so the model differs by +5.0 points.

CLE at TB: Buccaneers 64%, spread -4.5, total 40.5

Browns at Buccaneers: Elo makes the Buccaneers 64% favorites (spread -4.5). The posted market line is -8.5, so the model differs by +4.0 points.

MIN at CHI: Bears 57%, spread -2.5, total 49.5

Vikings at Bears: Elo makes the Bears 57% favorites (spread -2.5). The posted market line is -5.5, so the model differs by +3.0 points.

CIN at HOU: Texans 68%, spread -6.0, total 46.5

Bengals at Texans: Elo makes the Texans 68% favorites (spread -6.0). The posted market line is -3.0, so the model differs by -3.0 points.

GB at NYJ: Packers 55%, spread +1.5, total 44.5

Packers at Jets: Elo makes the Packers 55% favorites (spread +1.5). The posted market line is +4.5, so the model differs by -3.0 points.

SEA at ARI: Seahawks 72%, spread +7.5, total 41.5

Seahawks at Cardinals: Elo makes the Seahawks 72% favorites (spread +7.5). The posted market line is +4.5, so the model differs by +3.0 points.

WAS at DAL: Cowboys 55%, spread -1.5, total 50.5

Commanders at Cowboys: Elo makes the Cowboys 55% favorites (spread -1.5). The posted market line is -3.5, so the model differs by +2.0 points.

IND at KC: Chiefs 64%, spread -4.5, total 48.5

Colts at Chiefs: Elo makes the Chiefs 64% favorites (spread -4.5). The posted market line is -6.5, so the model differs by +2.0 points.

DET at BUF: Bills 67%, spread -5.5, total 53.5

Lions at Bills: Elo makes the Bills 67% favorites (spread -5.5). The posted market line is -4.5, so the model differs by -1.0 points.

NO at BAL: Ravens 73%, spread -8.0, total 47.5

Saints at Ravens: Elo makes the Ravens 73% favorites (spread -8.0). The posted market line is -8.5, so the model differs by +0.5 points.

PIT at NE: Patriots 66%, spread -5.0, total 41.5

Steelers at Patriots: Elo makes the Patriots 66% favorites (spread -5.0). The posted market line is -5.5, so the model differs by +0.5 points.

JAX at DEN: Broncos 60%, spread -3.0, total 44.5

Jaguars at Broncos: Elo makes the Broncos 60% favorites (spread -3.0). The posted market line is -2.5, so the model differs by -0.5 points.

LV at LAC: Chargers 69%, spread -6.5, total 43.5

Raiders at Chargers: Elo makes the Chargers 69% favorites (spread -6.5). The posted market line is -7.0, so the model differs by +0.5 points.

NYG at LA: Rams 72%, spread -7.5, total 48.5

Giants at Rams: Elo makes the Rams 72% favorites (spread -7.5). The posted market line is -7.0, so the model differs by -0.5 points.

PHI at TEN: Eagles 70%, spread +7.0, total 40.5

Eagles at Titans: Elo makes the Eagles 70% favorites (spread +7.0). The posted market line is +7.0, so the model differs by +0.0 points.

Home 43% · spread +2.5 · total 42.5

Home 67% · spread -5.5 · total 53.5

Home 65% · spread -5.0 · total 44.5

Home 73% · spread -8.0 · total 47.5

Home 57% · spread -2.5 · total 49.5

Home 68% · spread -6.0 · total 46.5

Home 66% · spread -5.0 · total 41.5

Home 45% · spread +1.5 · total 44.5

Home 64% · spread -4.5 · total 40.5

Home 30% · spread +7.0 · total 40.5

Home 60% · spread -3.0 · total 44.5

Home 69% · spread -6.5 · total 43.5

Home 28% · spread +7.5 · total 41.5

Home 55% · spread -1.5 · total 50.5

Home 77% · spread -9.5 · total 45.5

Home 64% · spread -4.5 · total 48.5

Home 72% · spread -7.5 · total 48.5