Strong
MIA at SF: 49ers 77%, spread -9.5, total 45.5
Dolphins at 49ers: Elo makes the 49ers 77% favorites (spread -9.5). The posted market line is -13.5, so the model differs by +4.0 points.
Signals digest
Free blurbs only. Open the app for books, distributions, and the full why.
Strong
CAR at ATL: Falcons 65%, spread -5.0, total 44.5
Panthers at Falcons: Elo makes the Falcons 65% favorites (spread -5.0). The posted market line is +1.5, so the model differs by -6.5 points.
Strong
DEN at KC: Broncos 57%, spread +2.5, total 42.5
Broncos at Chiefs: Elo makes the Broncos 57% favorites (spread +2.5). The posted market line is -2.5, so the model differs by +5.0 points.
Strong
CLE at TB: Buccaneers 64%, spread -4.5, total 40.5
Browns at Buccaneers: Elo makes the Buccaneers 64% favorites (spread -4.5). The posted market line is -8.5, so the model differs by +4.0 points.
Strong
MIN at CHI: Bears 57%, spread -2.5, total 49.5
Vikings at Bears: Elo makes the Bears 57% favorites (spread -2.5). The posted market line is -5.5, so the model differs by +3.0 points.
Strong
CIN at HOU: Texans 68%, spread -6.0, total 46.5
Bengals at Texans: Elo makes the Texans 68% favorites (spread -6.0). The posted market line is -3.0, so the model differs by -3.0 points.
Strong
GB at NYJ: Packers 55%, spread +1.5, total 44.5
Packers at Jets: Elo makes the Packers 55% favorites (spread +1.5). The posted market line is +4.5, so the model differs by -3.0 points.
Strong
SEA at ARI: Seahawks 72%, spread +7.5, total 41.5
Seahawks at Cardinals: Elo makes the Seahawks 72% favorites (spread +7.5). The posted market line is +4.5, so the model differs by +3.0 points.
Notable
WAS at DAL: Cowboys 55%, spread -1.5, total 50.5
Commanders at Cowboys: Elo makes the Cowboys 55% favorites (spread -1.5). The posted market line is -3.5, so the model differs by +2.0 points.
Notable
IND at KC: Chiefs 64%, spread -4.5, total 48.5
Colts at Chiefs: Elo makes the Chiefs 64% favorites (spread -4.5). The posted market line is -6.5, so the model differs by +2.0 points.
Notable
DET at BUF: Bills 67%, spread -5.5, total 53.5
Lions at Bills: Elo makes the Bills 67% favorites (spread -5.5). The posted market line is -4.5, so the model differs by -1.0 points.
Notable
NO at BAL: Ravens 73%, spread -8.0, total 47.5
Saints at Ravens: Elo makes the Ravens 73% favorites (spread -8.0). The posted market line is -8.5, so the model differs by +0.5 points.
Notable
PIT at NE: Patriots 66%, spread -5.0, total 41.5
Steelers at Patriots: Elo makes the Patriots 66% favorites (spread -5.0). The posted market line is -5.5, so the model differs by +0.5 points.
Notable
JAX at DEN: Broncos 60%, spread -3.0, total 44.5
Jaguars at Broncos: Elo makes the Broncos 60% favorites (spread -3.0). The posted market line is -2.5, so the model differs by -0.5 points.
Notable
LV at LAC: Chargers 69%, spread -6.5, total 43.5
Raiders at Chargers: Elo makes the Chargers 69% favorites (spread -6.5). The posted market line is -7.0, so the model differs by +0.5 points.
Notable
NYG at LA: Rams 72%, spread -7.5, total 48.5
Giants at Rams: Elo makes the Rams 72% favorites (spread -7.5). The posted market line is -7.0, so the model differs by -0.5 points.
Notable
PHI at TEN: Eagles 70%, spread +7.0, total 40.5
Eagles at Titans: Elo makes the Eagles 70% favorites (spread +7.0). The posted market line is +7.0, so the model differs by +0.0 points.